That's really not that bad. A few 10mm metal sheets over that and you are gold. That said another similar strike in the exact same spot will make that untenable.
That's really not that bad. A few 10mm metal sheets over that and you are gold. That said another similar strike in the exact same spot will make that untenable.
There are other pictures. Anyone driving a 40t tank over that bridge better have gills
And confidence in the forbearance of Ukrainian artillery units who have conclusively demonstrated their ability to accurately hit the bridge whenever they feel like it.
Originally Posted by Isyel
Well, they already proven they have a working firing solution...
Nothings getting across that bridge anymore. Struck by 6-7 HIMARS missiles.
Why is it called earth, when it is mostly water???
That's a fake, Derwish's post with tweet shows how it really looks like.Nothings getting across that bridge anymore. Struck by 6-7 HIMARS missiles.
Some patching here and there and it will be fine.
Just a repost from the earlier video with more obnoxious watermarks.
Creative way of announcing a retreat
Why is it called earth, when it is mostly water???
Russia takes second biggest power plant in Ukraine, the Vuhlehirsk plant in the eastern Donetsk region.
Why is it called earth, when it is mostly water???
While disguised in Ukrainian uniforms no less.
Just a minor crime compared with what came out in last 48 hoursWhile disguised in Ukrainian uniforms no less.
castration of POW
bombardment of POW camp NSFL
killing civilians, this time together with pets NSFL
I would not be surprised if the coming offensive in Kherson, there would be less Russian POWS.
I think by that point everyone realizes the closer Ukraine gets to victory the more shit like that will happen. Out of spite. Such is russia.Just a minor crime compared with what came out in last 48 hoursWhile disguised in Ukrainian uniforms no less.
castration of POW
bombardment of POW camp NSFL
killing civilians, this time together with pets NSFL
I would not be surprised if the coming offensive in Kherson, there would be less Russian POWS.
It´s the regained territory. As long as you move backwards you just don´t see what´s going on behind enemy lines when it comes to shit like that. Every new city/village freed will be full of that shit i guess.
Seems Russia doesn't have the forces to fight in the Dombas and in the South. Journalists visited the frontlines in the East and it was silent - no Russian artillery fire anywhere.
Maybe Ukraine should make noises about counter attacks in the North, then the South again, then the East. Run the bastards ragged all while trashing their logistics and degrading their artillery numbers.
I expect that they will blow the dam up to prevent/delay a Ukrainian advance the south, collateral damage be damned.
And they will of course blame it on HIMARS.
Last edited by Solana; July 29 2022 at 04:24:52 PM.
Nah, hitting north where Russia got the shortest supply lines not a good idea.
You hold the line, while they sweep from Odessa counter clock wise up towards the north.
Take Crimea, blow up the bridges to ruin the supply lines.
When Crimea falls, either Russian campaign collapses or they go Nuclear or Putin is no more.
Why is it called earth, when it is mostly water???
Nah, hitting north where Russia got the shortest supply lines not a good idea.
You hold the line, while they sweep from Odessa counter clock wise up towards the north.
Take Crimea, blow up the bridges to ruin the supply lines.
When Crimea falls, either Russian campaign collapses or they go Nuclear or Putin is no more.
Why is it called earth, when it is mostly water???
If and when they take Kherson, fresh water supply for Crimea can be cut at their whim. Russians have no desalination facilities there and not enough bandwith to bring it through the bridge even ignoring the fact how shit they are with logistics. That's why during last 2 weeks you saw russian propaganda machine burning midnight oil and various news outlets regurgitating, Lavrov runing around in Africa, recent meeting with Blinken, hail mary missile attacks from belarussian soil, reports of more warcrimes/day etc.Nah, hitting north where Russia got the shortest supply lines not a good idea.
You hold the line, while they sweep from Odessa counter clock wise up towards the north.
Take Crimea, blow up the bridges to ruin the supply lines.
When Crimea falls, either Russian campaign collapses or they go Nuclear or Putin is no more.
Yale paper on the effects of sanctions and the state of the Russian economy. Commentary added by a poster in another forum who is kind of a nerd for things like this
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....act_id=4167193
Finished reading the Yale paper (link here again) it's about 70 pages of reading and I thought I'd try a quick summary of what's covered for those who don't want to slog through it all. There's definitely a lot of juicy information about history and who owns what, and also more informational breakdown of the statistics and what they doing to affect them, definitely worth a read if you like that sort of stuff, along with many sources often linked in information quoted below. Anyways here goes.
Natural Gas:
83% goes to Europe
2% goes to China
There is no inter-connectivity between the pipelines, it cannot be shunted over to there.
Those pipelines cannot replace exports due to capacity even if they could.
On top of that, there is quite a staggering difference between Russia’s LNG export capacity and its piped gas exports – two of the LNG facilities connected to the Western Siberian gas grid – Yamal and Vysotsk – can export an equivalent of about 25 bcm. Total Russian natural gas exports to Europe amounted to 170 bcm, with 15 bcm being delivered in the form of LNG. Thus, from a technical standpoint, it remains impossible to ship the remaining amount of gas to China or India without the costly and time- consuming construction of a Trans-Siberian interconnecting pipeline.
China built one pipeline, however:
- China doesn't want to pay European prices for Gas.
- China doesn't trust Russias ability to build and maintain additional ones themselves, especially now.
- China has apparent untapped gas reserves.
The 'other' %'s mainly go to post soviet states, which are experiencing a breakdown in relations eg Kazakhstan
Their current gas field yields are dropping and their reliance on outside skills and technology means drilling more difficult locations questionable.
Oil:
Energy revenue represents 60%~ of total Russian government revenue
In fact, only after a long and unexplained delay did the Kremlin finally disclose that
total oil and gas revenues dropped by more than half in May from prior months, by the Kremlin’s
own numbers – along with the declaration that the Kremlin would cease releasing any new oil and
gas revenues from that point on
China and 'the pivot the East':
Internal:
There's little evidence anything here is working, they are cannibalizing planes to keep others flying. Using chips from other sources for military.
In desperation, Putin has effectively legalized grey market and intellectual property
infringement – and at times has outright encouraged parallel imports. Putin declared the
goods of certain companies exempt from trademark laws, including electronic components
from manufacturers such as Cisco, Intel, Motorola, and Siemens as well as industrial goods
such as paper, textiles, ceramics, locomotives, and nuclear reactors.
Official inflation is 20%. Some sectors it is up to 60%.
Retail sales and consumer spending is down 20%.
Nearly all foreign car companies have left, and Russias own production is down 75% as of May.
Even at these minimal production levels, significant shortcuts are being taken. Russia went
so far as to suspend car production safety requirements in domestic automobile
manufacturing, and many of the cars being manufactured post-invasion now lack such
essentials as airbags and anti-lock brakes. Likewise, within aerospace, even though the state
aviation authority Rosaviatsia issued production certificates to five Russian companies
authorizing them to make bootleg parts for aircraft, the manufacturers are apparently
struggling to produce anything beyond minor cabin items such as seats and galley equipment,
with sensitive flight-critical components still far off.
There are many more statistics covered, all of it is bad and in the negative.
The Exodus
1000 global companies left
They made up 40% of Russias GDP
Their investments made up 600 billion
1million were employed by them
500k have fled Russia
50% were highly educated/skilled such as tech
15k of those with 30million+ $ have left
Economy:
They are pumping out unsustainable levels of spending and lending, using up their reserves and throwing money at everyone
By the Central Bank of Russia’s own data releases, the Russian money supply – M2, which includes
cash, checking deposits, and cash-convertible proxies of store-holders of value – ballooned
by nearly two times from the start of the year through June
And it's not working
In fact, despite the permissive credit environment fostered by the Kremlin and state subsidization of various forms of loans including mortgages and business loans, loans originated to small and medium businesses
have actually fallen dramatically in spite of these subsidies.
Not even Russians want Russian investments
One would think that if any group of investors might be bullish about owning Russian equities
right now, it might be Russians themselves – but this is not the case. The benchmark Russian
equity index, the MOEX Russia Index (formerly known as the MICEX Russia Index), is one
of the single worst performers of any major country index in the entire world this year, falling
nearly ~50% since the start of the invasion.
One expert economist, Timothy Ash, estimated that total Russian financial market losses on assets held by locals come out to $200-$300 billion amidst this financial carnage.
Malc's comments
1 - Russia has lost 10x as many skilled, economically productive people to emigration as to their (appallingly high) military casualties
2 - ~15,000 people with NAV of $30m+ leaving implies a ~$450B+ capital outflow from these people alone. No doubt some illiquid assets had to be firesaled / abandoned / traded for exit process inattention, but it's still effectively the same loss for the official economy. With the other 485,000 poors, let's call it a total of half a trillion dollars
3 - Consumers spending 20% less when prices are 20+% higher means that Ivan Averagski is buying about 1/3 less actual goods & services. And you can bet that the people at the bottom are the most heavily impacted. That is a fucking BRUTAL drop in the standard of living.
4 - That stock drop - bearing in mind that it's happened with all the rule-fucking and straight up trading locks implemented - is utter carnage. It strongly implies that there's essentially no access to new capital via the stock market any more. Good luck funding a new company via IPO in Russia even if you have a product and customers that want it unless your daddy is an oligarch, because aint no one buying your shares.
5 - If anyone tries to tell you that "SaNcTiOnS aReN't WoRkInG!" then you laugh in their stupid face.
This is what's happened after 5 months of sanctions, 3 months of the full suite. If the hurting stopped now, it would probably take Russia a decade to recover from this. If they go on for another 6 months into winter there will be a lot of dead Russian civilians one way or the other.
Posting Permissions
Reply With Quote
Bookmarks